MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 16:17:26| >> :60:470:470:
Turkish Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
3 - 0
Sivasspor

Kadioglu (47'), Batshuayi (58'), King (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Charisis (0'), Saiz (0'), Charisis (18'), Saiz (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Cup clash between Fenerbahce and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, May 18 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Sivasspor

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Sivasspor
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 2-0 Sivasspor

 Although Sivasspor won the Turkish Cup last season, we do not expect them to be able to reach the final for the second year in a row, as their league form has been terrible, losing their last four games. As such, Fenerbahce should run out comfortable winners, booking their place in the final against either Ankaragucu or Istanbul Basaksehir. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawSivasspor
67.61% (0.0049999999999955 0) 17.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 14.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 60.24% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.48% (0.0039999999999907 0)31.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.99% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)8.59% (-0.0029000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.78% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 67.61%
    Sivasspor 14.84%
    Draw 17.54%
FenerbahceDrawSivasspor
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.77%
3-0 @ 7.22%
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.18%
4-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-2 @ 1.26%
6-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 67.61%
1-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.11%
0-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.54%
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.7%
1-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 14.84%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Sivasspor

Fenerbahce
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Sivasspor
0.0%
36
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sivasspor
0-0
Fenerbahce

Ciftci (55')

Kahveci (74')
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
gameweek 32
Sivasspor
1-3
Fenerbahce
Caicedo (76')
Rossi (22'), Kadioglu (45+1', 45+10')
Osayi-Samuel (60'), Arao (71'), Can Egribayat (82'), Hakan Yandas (83')
Kahveci (45+5')
Nov 7, 2022 5pm
gameweek 13
Fenerbahce
1-0
Sivasspor
Valencia (55' pen.)

Yesilyurt (19')
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
gameweek 23
Sivasspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Henrique (74')
Altinay (15'), Oguz (83')
Zajc (18')
Aziz (34'), Sangare (65'), Crespo (73')
Sep 12, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Fenerbahce
1-1
Sivasspor
Osayi-Samuel (23')
Bayindir (44'), Zajc (83')
Henrique (45' pen.)
Cofie (13'), Henrique (79'), Ciftci (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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