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Turkish Cup | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu

Sivasspor
0 - 0
Fenerbahce

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Cup clash between Sivasspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sivasspor 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Sivasspor 0-2 Fenerbahce

Even without the goals of Enner Valencia, Fenerbahce should be too strong for Sivasspor, with the visitors expected to notch a healthy first-leg lead on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
SivassporDrawFenerbahce
24.49% (-1.208 -1.21) 23.46% (0.133 0.13) 52.05% (1.076 1.08)
Both teams to score 56.24% (-1.72 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (-1.692 -1.69)44.62% (1.694 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (-1.658 -1.66)66.99% (1.659 1.66)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-1.884 -1.88)32.11% (1.885 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-2.196 -2.2)68.59% (2.197 2.2)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)17.15% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (-0.41 -0.41)47.4% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 24.49%
    Fenerbahce 52.05%
    Draw 23.46%
SivassporDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.49%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.393 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.067 0.07)
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.624 0.62)
0-2 @ 8.56% (0.488 0.49)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.03% (0.25 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.094 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 52.05%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Fenerbahce

Sivasspor
24.1%
Draw
6.9%
Fenerbahce
69.0%
29
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
gameweek 32
Sivasspor
1-3
Fenerbahce
Caicedo (76')
Rossi (22'), Kadioglu (45+1', 45+10')
Osayi-Samuel (60'), Arao (71'), Can Egribayat (82'), Hakan Yandas (83')
Kahveci (45+5')
Nov 7, 2022 5pm
gameweek 13
Fenerbahce
1-0
Sivasspor
Valencia (55' pen.)

Yesilyurt (19')
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
gameweek 23
Sivasspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Henrique (74')
Altinay (15'), Oguz (83')
Zajc (18')
Aziz (34'), Sangare (65'), Crespo (73')
Sep 12, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Fenerbahce
1-1
Sivasspor
Osayi-Samuel (23')
Bayindir (44'), Zajc (83')
Henrique (45' pen.)
Cofie (13'), Henrique (79'), Ciftci (90+3')
May 11, 2021 6.30pm
gameweek 41
Fenerbahce
1-2
Sivasspor
Cisse (90+2')
Gonul (90')
Kayode (45+1'), Arslan (48')
Ninga (37'), Ciftci (45+1'), Yalcin (59')
rhs 2.0
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