MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:50:33| >> :600:42832340:42832340:
European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium

Italy U19s
1 - 1
Poland U19s

Hasa (34')
Faticanti (20'), Missori (30'), Ndour (85'), Turco (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Strzalek (8')
Majchrzak (23'), Lewicki (52')
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Italy Under-19s and Poland Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-1 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Malta U19s 0-2 Poland U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 8.15pm in European Under-19s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-19s win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Italy Under-19s win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Italy Under-19sDrawPoland Under-19s
17.07% (-25.445 -25.45) 20.34% (-3.447 -3.45) 62.58% (28.889 28.89)
Both teams to score 55.1% (-6.471 -6.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.116 -0.12)40.58% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.121 -0.12)62.96% (0.118 0.12)
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9% (-17.779 -17.78)37.1% (17.776 17.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (-22.799 -22.8)73.88% (22.796 22.8)
Poland Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (11.283 11.28)12.4% (-11.284 -11.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (19.51 19.51)38.29% (-19.512 -19.51)
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-19s 17.07%
    Poland Under-19s 62.58%
    Draw 20.34%
Italy Under-19sDrawPoland Under-19s
2-1 @ 4.72% (-4.186 -4.19)
1-0 @ 4.56% (-2.962 -2.96)
2-0 @ 2.26% (-3.922 -3.92)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-1.886 -1.89)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-3.321 -3.32)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 17.07%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-1.307 -1.31)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-1.487 -1.49)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.554 -0.55)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.34%
0-2 @ 10.02% (5.273 5.27)
1-2 @ 9.94% (2.135 2.14)
0-1 @ 9.6% (3.012 3.01)
0-3 @ 6.97% (4.695 4.7)
1-3 @ 6.92% (3.168 3.17)
0-4 @ 3.64% (2.818 2.82)
1-4 @ 3.61% (2.259 2.26)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.349 0.35)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.68 0.68)
0-5 @ 1.52% (1.283 1.28)
1-5 @ 1.51% (1.117 1.12)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.58%

rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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