Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inhulets would win this match.