Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor0 - 2Danubio
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Defensor
Monday, December 4 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, December 4 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
57
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 La Luz
Sunday, December 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, December 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
39
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Danubio |
55.49% ( 0.3) | 23.8% ( -0.1) | 20.71% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( 0.16) | 50.11% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( 0.14) | 72.08% ( -0.14) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( 0.17) | 17.92% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.28% ( 0.29) | 48.72% ( -0.29) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( -0.12) | 38.68% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.58% ( -0.12) | 75.41% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Defensor Sporting 55.48%
Danubio 20.71%
Draw 23.79%
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 55.48% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.71% |
Head to Head
Jul 15, 2023 12am
Gameweek 6
Defensor
2-1
Danubio
May 14, 2023 7pm
Mar 8, 2023 10pm
Oct 13, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Defensor
1-1
Danubio
Jul 17, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Defensor
2-1
Danubio
Sant'Anna (36'), Ferrari (59')
Barrios (7'), Sant'Anna (88'), de los Santos (88')
Barrios (7'), Sant'Anna (88'), de los Santos (88')
Gonzalez (76')
Ferreira (11')
Ferreira (11')
