MX23RW : Wednesday, June 5 10:54:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Oct 24, 2023 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 3
Maldonado

Zabala (15')
Fagundez (28'), Galeano (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Leon (40', 61'), Spinelli (85')
Fernandez (8'), Cayetano (33'), de Leon (62'), Cartagena (66'), Alfaro (82')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Nacional
Friday, October 20 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 River Plate
Thursday, October 19 at 6.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawDeportivo Maldonado
65.92% (0.753 0.75) 21.62% (-0.235 -0.23) 12.46% (-0.52 -0.52)
Both teams to score 40.1% (-0.721 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (-0.172 -0.17)54.75% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.142 -0.14)76.06% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (0.18899999999999 0.19)15.92% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.82% (0.351 0.35)45.17% (-0.354 -0.35)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.69% (-0.969 -0.97)52.31% (0.966 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.79% (-0.639 -0.64)86.2% (0.634 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 65.92%
    Deportivo Maldonado 12.46%
    Draw 21.62%
NacionalDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 15.3% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 14.06% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 8.61% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 65.92%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 12.46%

Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
4-0
Maldonado
Ramirez (45+2'), Martinez (56'), Trezza (75'), Damiani (86')
Candido (16'), Zabala (47'), Rodriguez (61'), Polenta (81')

Darias (20'), Reyes (45+4'), Cantera (45+4')
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Jul 30, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Maldonado
2-1
Nacional
Cantera (21', 44')
Cayetano (45+5')
Cayetano (62')
Ramirez (62')
Marichal (4'), Luis Rodriguez (26'), Gigliotti (56'), Rochet (88')
Marichal (20')
Feb 6, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Nacional
2-3
Maldonado
Gigliotti (84'), Zunino (90+3')
Rodriguez (23'), Gigliotti (69'), Luis Rodriguez (72'), Ramirez (90+5')
Gigliotti (90')
Darias (67'), Marichal (71' og.), Cantera (90+7')
Darias (23')
Nov 13, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Maldonado
1-0
Nacional
Varela (79')
Varela (39'), Cotugno (45+1')

Almeida (28'), Trasante (33'), Laborda (43'), Polenta (81'), Trezza (90+1')
Almeida (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!