MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:33:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 15, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 1
Cerro

Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Nacional
Friday, October 6 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, October 8 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro
60.49% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22) 24.26% (0.107 0.11) 15.25% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 39.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.93% (-0.185 -0.19)59.07% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (-0.143 -0.14)79.52% (0.143 0.14)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-0.152 -0.15)19.41% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (-0.251 -0.25)51.23% (0.252 0.25)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.61% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.93% (0.032 0.03)85.07% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.48%
    Cerro 15.25%
    Draw 24.25%
NacionalDrawCerro
1-0 @ 16.1% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
2-0 @ 13.19% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 15.25%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')
Sep 7, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
5-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena (90+2')
Cabrera (36' pen.)
Garcia (42'), Hernandez (50')
Oct 19, 2019 11pm
Nacional
2-0
Cerro
Ocampo (5'), Rodriguez (91')
Vina (27')

Nunez (45'), Brasil (79'), Alonso (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol1512213252738
2NacionalNacional15113137112636
3Racing de MontevideoRacing157621610627
4Boston RiverBoston River158251915426
5DanubioDanubio15672147725
6Cerro Largo156451511422
7Defensor SportingDefensor155551717020
8Miramar Misiones154741115-419
9LiverpoolLiverpool154651516-118
10River PlateRiver Plate155371520-518
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers154561520-517
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154471219-716
13FenixFenix154291428-1414
14CerroCerro15267920-1112
15Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado1523101224-129
16ProgresoProgreso15159924-158
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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