MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:18:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Racing
0 - 2
Nacional


Rodriguez (7'), Bueno (26'), Cotugno (77'), Varela (80'), Bacchia (82'), Magallanes (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanabria (42'), Recoba (81')
Santander (28'), Polenta (55')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Last Game: Fenix 0-2 Racing
Sunday, November 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Cerro
Saturday, November 2 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
20.14% (-0.229 -0.23) 25.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 54.01% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 43.84% (-0.339 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)58.32% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (-0.22 -0.22)78.94% (0.218 0.22)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.98% (-0.415 -0.41)44.02% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.86% (-0.343 -0.34)80.14% (0.342 0.34)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)21.69% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)54.85% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 20.14%
    Nacional 54%
    Draw 25.84%
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.91% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.14%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.55% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 14.59% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 11.14% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.68% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.17% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 54%

Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12am
Gameweek 11
Nacional
4-2
Racing
Galeano (8'), Bentancourt (43' og.), Izquierdo (79'), Santander (90+1' pen.)
Castro (35'), Oliva (57'), Izquierdo (68'), Veron (79')
Veron (12'), Mederos (87')
Quinonez (30'), Magallanes (47'), Veron (71'), Varela (86')
Magallanes (89')
Oct 6, 2023 12am
Gameweek 4
Racing
1-2
Nacional
Rivero (39' pen.)
Vega (42'), Mejia (58'), Varela (81')
Vega (71')
Martinez (25', 57')
Polenta (39'), Ginella (52')
Polenta (63')
Jul 9, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 5
Racing
2-2
Nacional
Veron (45'), Bueno (65')
De Los Santos (26'), Veron (62'), Gorocito (70')
Monzeglio (26'), Rodriguez (52')
Martinez (26'), Lozano (28'), Polenta (90+3'), Rodriguez (90'), Lozano (90+9'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Rodriguez (90+8')
Feb 26, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Racing
Ramirez (7' pen., 30'), Gigliotti (79')
Alaniz (72')
Sep 22, 2019 11pm
Nacional
3-0
Racing
Vina (8'), Vecino (78', 80')
Carvalho (35'), Garcia (50'), Zunino (64'), Carballo (91')
rhs 2.0
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