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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Cerro

Galeano (45+1'), Lopez (55')
Castro (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Triunfo (54'), Macelli (84')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rampla 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 20 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Racing
Sunday, October 20 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.75%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro
70.05% (-0.44 -0.44) 19.61% (0.224 0.22) 10.34% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 39.25% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.293 -0.29)52.03% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.253 -0.25)73.76% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (-0.22 -0.22)13.73% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (-0.444 -0.44)40.99% (0.448 0.45)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.5% (0.26000000000001 0.26)54.5% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.42% (0.157 0.16)87.58% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 70.04%
    Cerro 10.34%
    Draw 19.61%
NacionalDrawCerro
1-0 @ 14.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 14.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 9.76% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 70.04%
1-1 @ 9.02% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.72% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.61%
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.088 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 10.34%

Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
3-0
Nacional
Ramirez (14'), Petillo Mediza (84'), Gonzalez (88')
Berrios (76')
Abero (29')

Santander (65'), Izquierdo (67'), Castro (69')
Apr 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
rhs 2.0
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