MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:10:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol

River Plate
0 - 1
Penarol


Alfonso (7'), Fernandez (28'), Almeida (45+1'), Olivera (62'), Galletto (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silvera (68')
Fernandez (28'), Olivera (32'), Milans (55')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Progreso 2-0 River Plate
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, October 31 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawPenarol
21.22% (0.989 0.99) 23.59% (0.537 0.54) 55.19% (-1.527 -1.53)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-1.017 -1.02)48.64% (1.013 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.93 -0.93)70.75% (0.928 0.93)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.427 0.43)37.32% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (0.418 0.42)74.1% (-0.42 -0.42)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (-0.911 -0.91)17.48% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (-1.611 -1.61)47.97% (1.609 1.61)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 21.22%
    Penarol 55.18%
    Draw 23.58%
River PlateDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 5.53% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 21.22%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 9.92% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.18%

Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
1-3
Penarol
Galletto (14')
Salaberry (21'), Alfonso (83'), Quintana (83')
Corbo (45+3')
Silvera (11'), Rodriguez (61'), Darias (88')
Fernandez (16'), Mendez (24'), Darias (76')
Apr 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Penarol
3-0
River Plate
Ramirez (9'), Galletto (24' og.), Fernandez (72' pen.)
Castillo (14'), Garcia (79'), Mendez (86')

Barboza (45'), Vera (54')
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
0-3
Penarol

Chopitea (61'), Gargano (63'), Cabrera (73')
Gonzalez (29'), Mayada (34'), Arezo (59')
Milans (56')
Jun 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Penarol
1-3
River Plate
Hernandez (21')
Rodriguez (41'), Betancor (72'), Coelho (83')
Rodriguez (90+7')
Brunelli (42'), Barone (62', 68')
Brunelli (2'), Garcia (89')
Mar 18, 2023 10.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional13102134102432
2PenarolPenarol1310212432132
3Boston RiverBoston River138231710726
4DanubioDanubio13661134924
5Racing de MontevideoRacing13562129321
6Defensor SportingDefensor135441714319
7Miramar Misiones134631113-218
8Cerro Largo134451010016
9River PlateRiver Plate134361418-415
10Rampla JuniorsRampla134361117-615
11FenixFenix134271223-1114
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers133461219-713
13LiverpoolLiverpool132651115-412
14CerroCerro13265816-812
15ProgresoProgreso13157717-108
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado130310722-153
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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