MX23RW : Monday, February 3 08:49:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Penarol

River Plate
1 - 3
Penarol

Galletto (14')
Salaberry (21'), Alfonso (83'), Quintana (83')
Corbo (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Silvera (11'), Rodriguez (61'), Darias (88')
Fernandez (16'), Mendez (24'), Darias (76')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenix 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, July 7 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, July 6 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawPenarol
20.48% (-0.598 -0.6) 25.04% (-0.061 -0.06) 54.47% (0.656 0.66)
Both teams to score 46.42% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.86% (-0.412 -0.41)55.14% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (-0.34 -0.34)76.39% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.19% (-0.869 -0.87)41.8% (0.866 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.73% (-0.768 -0.77)78.26% (0.764 0.76)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.097999999999999 0.1)20.22% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (0.15900000000001 0.16)52.55% (-0.162 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 20.48%
    Penarol 54.46%
    Draw 25.04%
River PlateDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.14% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 3.22% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 20.48%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 13.51% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 10.79% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.75% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 54.46%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Penarol
3-0
River Plate
Ramirez (9'), Galletto (24' og.), Fernandez (72' pen.)
Castillo (14'), Garcia (79'), Mendez (86')

Barboza (45'), Vera (54')
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
0-3
Penarol

Chopitea (61'), Gargano (63'), Cabrera (73')
Gonzalez (29'), Mayada (34'), Arezo (59')
Milans (56')
Jun 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Penarol
1-3
River Plate
Hernandez (21')
Rodriguez (41'), Betancor (72'), Coelho (83')
Rodriguez (90+7')
Brunelli (42'), Barone (62', 68')
Brunelli (2'), Garcia (89')
Mar 18, 2023 10.30pm
Mar 8, 2023 12am
First Round
River Plate
0-4
Penarol
Arezo (8', 16', 75'), Milans (21')
rhs 2.0
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