MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 21:34:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Newtown

Evans (28')
Davies (60'), Flint (60'), Thorn (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Roberts (67'), Sutton (68'), Jones (85'), Mills-Evans (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Newtown
Thursday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
29.46% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1) 22.54% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 47.99% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 64% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (-0.13 -0.13)36.36% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (-0.141 -0.14)58.49% (0.139 0.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.125 -0.13)24.2% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (-0.178 -0.18)58.54% (0.177 0.18)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)15.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.51% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 29.46%
    Newtown AFC 47.99%
    Draw 22.54%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.34% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.79% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 47.99%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth

Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Williams (40')
Franklin (27')
Ofori (74'), Evans (90+3')
Fletcher (44'), Edwards (45+2')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-0
Newtown
Franklin (78')
Bradford (36'), Jones (43'), Franklin (83'), Owen (90+1')

O'Neill (1'), Ofori (37'), Fletcher (41')
Ofori (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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