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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Newtown

Evans (28')
Davies (60'), Flint (60'), Thorn (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Roberts (67'), Sutton (68'), Jones (85'), Mills-Evans (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Newtown
Thursday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
29.46% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1) 22.54% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 47.99% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 64% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (-0.13 -0.13)36.36% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (-0.141 -0.14)58.49% (0.139 0.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.125 -0.13)24.2% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (-0.178 -0.18)58.54% (0.177 0.18)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)15.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.51% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 29.46%
    Newtown AFC 47.99%
    Draw 22.54%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.34% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.79% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 47.99%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth

Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Williams (40')
Franklin (27')
Ofori (74'), Evans (90+3')
Fletcher (44'), Edwards (45+2')
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-0
Newtown
Franklin (78')
Bradford (36'), Jones (43'), Franklin (83'), Owen (90+1')

O'Neill (1'), Ofori (37'), Fletcher (41')
Ofori (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon219483235-331
6Bala TownBala Town2161142621529
7Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
11Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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