Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.