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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Donohue (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (57')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Airbus UK
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

Last Six:
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-3 Newtown
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
47.34% (0.47300000000001 0.47) 23.29% (-0.099 -0.1) 29.36% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 61.2% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98% (0.247 0.25)40.02% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (0.255 0.26)62.38% (-0.257 -0.26)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.277 0.28)17.18% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.55% (0.487 0.49)47.45% (-0.489 -0.49)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.123 -0.12)26.1% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)61.16% (0.162 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 47.34%
    Haverfordwest County 29.36%
    Draw 23.29%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.02% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.36%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon

Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')

Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Caernarfon
Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Haverfordwest
Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Caernarfon
1-4
Haverfordwest
Edwards (25')
Kenny (39'), Thomas (68'), Edwards (70')
Tibbetts (7')
Wilson (29'), Fawcett (37', 56'), Griffiths (87')
Fawcett (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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