MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 23:57:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Aberystwyth

Rees (9', 28')
Jones (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Darlington (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Airbus UK
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
48.66% (-0.47 -0.47) 24.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 26.71% (0.511 0.51)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.556 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.524 0.52)47.84% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (0.48 0.48)70.02% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (0.015000000000001 0.02)19.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (0.021999999999998 0.02)51.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.684 0.68)32.03% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.769 0.77)68.5% (-0.762 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 48.66%
    Aberystwyth Town 26.71%
    Draw 24.63%
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.175 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.66%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 26.71%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU

Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Aberystwyth

Evans (64'), Clubb (90+5')
Owen (10')
Correia (32'), Owen (90+2')
Sep 11, 2021 5.15pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Cardiff MU

Correia (57'), Phillips (66')
Lewis (89')
Davies (19'), Lewis (30'), Roscrow (73'), Evans (77')
rhs 2.0
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