Connah's Quay

1 - 0

Bala Town

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.