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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 

Bala Town
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

Horan (18' og.), Jones (72')
Shannon (32'), Smith (54'), Ramsey (78'), Kay (88'), Smith (90+3')
Peate (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morris (80' pen.)
Poole (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
34.21%24.58%41.21%
Both teams to score 58.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94%44.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55%66.44%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91%25.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22%59.78%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57%21.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56%54.44%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 34.21%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 41.21%
    Draw 24.58%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 7.92%
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.21%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.21%

How you voted: Bala Town vs Connah's Quay

Bala Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Connah's Quay Nomads
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-0
Bala Town
Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')

Correia (27'), (82')
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bala Town
1-3
Connah's Quay
Correia (1')
Spittle (34'), Smith (65'), Correia (76')
Spittle (90')
Horan (4'), Morris (67' pen.), Curran (85')
Poole (27'), Holmes (70'), Harrison (82')
Sep 12, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town

(21')
Peate (22')
(5'), (44'), (70'), (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
2-2
Connah's Quay
Venables (7'), Smith (78')
(40'), (74')
Robles (88')
Wilde (3'), Insall (39')
Horan (63'), (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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