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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
2 - 3
Caernarfon

Beaumont (18'), Diau (35')
Beaumont (26'), Stephens (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Donohue (31' pen.), Edwards (49'), Faux (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 0-2 Haverfordwest
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 4-0 Airbus UK
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
39.4% (-0.116 -0.12) 24.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 35.97% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.01% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.07 -0.07)44% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.07 -0.07)66.39% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)22.28% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (-0.134 -0.13)55.74% (0.133 0.13)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02)24.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (0.028999999999996 0.03)58.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 39.4%
    Caernarfon Town 35.97%
    Draw 24.62%
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.88% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.04%
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 35.97%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Flint Town
2-1
Caernarfon
Stephens (10'), Cole (90')
Faux (53')
Cartwright (52')
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Flint Town
O'Rourke (82'), Wynne (86')
Edwards (36')
May 14, 2022 2pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Nash (102')
Hart (38'), Jones (100')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Flint Town
3-4
Caernarfon
Roberts (28'), Cadwallader (75' pen., 77')
Weaver (3'), Jones (45'), Nash (69'), Kenny (70'), Harwood (85'), (87')
Weaver (88')
Hayes (21'), Hughes (22'), Edwards (42'), Donohue (45+2' pen.)
Hughes (35'), Williams (39'), Thomas (70'), Edwards (76'), Bailey (78'), John (89')
Simpson (63')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-3
Flint Town
Hughes (12'), Hayes (83')
Edwards (23'), Simpson (75')
Wilde (72', 89'), Harwood (76')
Phillips (24'), Roberts (32'), Jones (33'), Hart (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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