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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 2
Caernarfon

Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
Evans (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Thomas (50'), Gosset (67'), Hughes (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 4-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
52.18% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 22.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 25.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.75% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.033000000000001 0.03)15.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23% (0.065999999999995 0.07)44.77% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.54% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)65.56% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 52.18%
    Caernarfon Town 25.09%
    Draw 22.73%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 25.09%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Donohue (48')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon

Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')

Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Caernarfon
Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Haverfordwest
Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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