MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 01:07:18| >> :600:1164104:1164104:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Tre Fontane

Roma
3 - 0
Ajax

Giacinti (5', 14'), Giugliano (47')
Spugna (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Keijzer (49'), Spitse (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Roma Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma Women

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Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-2 Roma
Wednesday, November 15 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ajax Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Roma Women 2-1 Ajax Women

 Ajax's confidence would have taken a slight hit at the weekend following their first defeat of the season, and while we believe that they will run their Italian opponents close on Thursday, we think that the Dutch champions will be edged out by a Roma side that has won their last eight competitive home games since losing to Barcelona in March. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax Women win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma Women would win this match.

Result
Roma WomenDrawAjax Women
36.76% (0.733 0.73) 24.04% (-0.283 -0.28) 39.2% (-0.445 -0.45)
Both teams to score 61.28% (1.145 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.91% (1.456 1.46)41.09% (-1.452 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.52% (1.468 1.47)63.49% (-1.463 -1.46)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (1.046 1.05)22.32% (-1.043 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (1.545 1.55)55.8% (-1.542 -1.54)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.42 0.42)21.1% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06% (0.648 0.65)53.94% (-0.645 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Roma Women 36.76%
    Ajax Women 39.2%
    Draw 24.04%
Roma WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.163 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.396 -0.4)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.113 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.06 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.2%

How you voted: Roma vs Ajax

Roma Women
57.1%
Draw
9.5%
Ajax Women
33.3%
21
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
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> Premier League Full Table


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