MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:30:58| >> :600:95023:95023:
Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 29, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
5 - 1
Roma

Rolfo (11', 45+3'), Pilar Leon (33'), Oshoala (46'), Guijarro (53')
Oshoala (63'), Fernandez (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Serturini (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Roma Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona Women

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Last Game: Roma 0-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Roma Women

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Last Game: Roma 0-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Barcelona Women 3-0 Roma Women

 Roma gave a great account of themselves in the first leg, but facing Barcelona at Camp Nou represents an entirely different proposition, and we think that the hosts will make full use of the home advantage to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 5.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.15%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona WomenDrawRoma Women
83.18% (4.371 4.37) 11.49% (-2.01 -2.01) 5.34% (-2.357 -2.36)
Both teams to score 42.9% (-6.271 -6.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (-0.247 -0.25)32.9% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.39% (-0.286 -0.29)54.61% (0.28899999999999 0.29)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.21% (0.783 0.78)5.79% (-0.779 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.7% (2.174 2.17)22.29% (-2.169 -2.17)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.53% (-7.091 -7.09)54.46% (7.096 7.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.44% (-4.791 -4.79)87.56% (4.794 4.79)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona Women 83.17%
    Roma Women 5.34%
    Draw 11.49%
Barcelona WomenDrawRoma Women
2-0 @ 12.8% (1.27 1.27)
3-0 @ 12.15% (1.69 1.69)
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.512 0.51)
4-0 @ 8.66% (1.53 1.53)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.842 -0.84)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.437 -0.44)
4-1 @ 5.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 4.93% (1.052 1.05)
5-1 @ 3% (0.098 0.1)
6-0 @ 2.34% (0.581 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.678 -0.68)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.391 -0.39)
6-1 @ 1.42% (0.107 0.11)
7-0 @ 0.95% (0.269 0.27)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 83.17%
1-1 @ 5.46% (-0.872 -0.87)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.857 -0.86)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 11.49%
0-1 @ 1.92% (-0.409 -0.41)
1-2 @ 1.66% (-0.707 -0.71)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.34%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Roma

Barcelona Women
58.6%
Draw
34.5%
Roma Women
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Roma
0-1
Barcelona

Giacinti (34')
Paralluelo (34')
Paredes (37'), Bronze (81')
rhs 2.0
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