We said: Zurich Women 0-2 Lyon Women
Although Lyon's squad has been depleted by injuries, we still think that they will have too much quality for Zurich, and as a result, we expect them to claim their first victory of the Champions League group stage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 74.68%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Zurich Women had a probability of 8.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.86%) and 0-3 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Zurich Women win it was 1-0 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.