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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 21, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester Women
0 - 1
Man City Women


O'Brien (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelly (10')
Angeldal (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, October 15 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 5-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, October 15 at 1pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 1-2 Manchester City Women

Leicester have exceeded expectations in the opening stages of the new season, but we think that their unbeaten start will be brought to an end when they go up against a Man City side that are expected to feature in the title race this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 82.56%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.6%) and 0-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawManchester City Women
5.77% (-0.0091000000000001 -0.01) 11.66% (-0.022 -0.02) 82.56% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.34% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.46% (0.084999999999994 0.08)31.54% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.97% (0.099000000000004 0.1)53.03% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.94% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03% (0.026999999999999 0.03)85.97% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.35% (0.022999999999996 0.02)5.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.13% (0.063000000000002 0.06)21.87% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 5.77%
    Manchester City Women 82.55%
    Draw 11.66%
Leicester WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 1.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 5.77%
1-1 @ 5.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 11.66%
0-2 @ 12.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-4 @ 8.34% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 5.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 4.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-5 @ 3.14% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-6 @ 2.3% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-6 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-7 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 82.55%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 11.30am
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Man City Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Shaw (24', 79'), Hemp (72'), Hasegawa (88')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 20
Man City Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Weir (16'), Hemp (43'), Blakstad (45+3'), Greenwood (63' pen.)
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Leicester Women
1-4
Man City Women
Sigsworth (1')
O'Brien (45+2')
Weir (24'), Walsh (37'), Hemp (71'), Coombs (83')
rhs 2.0
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