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Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol Women
2 - 4
Leicester Women

Jones (33'), Gronbak Thestrup (85' pen.)
Jones (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Palmer (45+2'), Rantala (49', 83'), Petermann (52')
Cain (78'), Green (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Bristol City Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City Women

Last Game: Southampton Women 1-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, January 30 at 1pm in Women's FA Cup

Leicester Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-1 Leicester Women
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Bristol City Women 0-1 Leicester Women

 Both teams have added to their squads over the summer, but we think that Leicester have the extra quality required to claim a narrow victory in Sunday's meeting at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City Women win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City WomenDrawLeicester Women
62.53% (-0.446 -0.45) 20.62% (0.149 0.15) 16.86% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.139 -0.14)42.21% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (-0.14 -0.14)64.61% (0.136 0.14)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08% (-0.172 -0.17)12.92% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.64% (-0.352 -0.35)39.36% (0.348 0.35)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (0.271 0.27)38.34% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9% (0.263 0.26)75.1% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City Women 62.51%
    Leicester Women 16.86%
    Draw 20.62%
Bristol City WomenDrawLeicester Women
2-0 @ 10.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.62% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 62.51%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.86%

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