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Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester Women
0 - 1
Man Utd Women


Bott (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toone (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leicester Women 1-2 Manchester United Women

Although Man United have struggled for consistency this season, they have won both of their WSL away games against Leicester, and we think that they will do enough to pick up a narrow win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawManchester United Women
24.24% (0.326 0.33) 19.86% (0.104 0.1) 55.91% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 69.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.37% (-0.161 -0.16)27.63% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.71% (-0.204 -0.2)48.29% (0.203 0.2)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.131 0.13)23.01% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (0.194 0.19)56.81% (-0.194 -0.19)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.82% (-0.157 -0.16)10.18% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.56% (-0.361 -0.36)33.44% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 24.24%
    Manchester United Women 55.91%
    Draw 19.86%
Leicester WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.062 0.06)
1-0 @ 3.44% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.24%
1-1 @ 7.86% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.34% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.86%
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 6.84% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 5.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.87% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 55.91%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Man Utd Women
1-1
Leicester Women
Le Tissier (67')
Zelem (58')
Whelan (60')
Nevin (42'), Petermann (51'), Bott (52'), Cain (55'), Tierney (72')
Mar 5, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Man Utd Women
5-1
Leicester Women
Russo (15', 36', 53'), Galton (64'), Garcia (84')
Siemsen (48')
Oct 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 16
Man Utd Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Thomas (17'), Russo (30'), Zelem (59', 63')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 2
Leicester Women
1-3
Man Utd Women
McManus (61')
Sigsworth (74'), Jane Flint (86')
Toone (36'), Thorisdottir (47'), Thomas (71')
Toone (58')
rhs 2.0
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