Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
Jan 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Academy Stadium
We said: Manchester City Women 2-1 Aston Villa Women
Aston Villa will head into the game in a confident mood following their win over Tottenham last weekend, and after beating Man City earlier in the season, they have the chance to complete the league double on Saturday.
However, we think that a City side that have won seven of their last eight league games will have enough quality to record a narrow victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.94% . A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 5.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.52% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 4-0 (8.68%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%) , while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (1.68%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood .
Result Manchester City Women Draw Aston Villa Women 83.94% ( -0.36) 10.77% ( 0.22) 5.3% ( 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.16% ( 0.11)
71.07% ( -0.42) 28.93% ( 0.42)
50.11% ( -0.51) 49.89% ( 0.51)
Manchester City Women Goals
95.09% ( -0.13) 4.92% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 80.28% ( -0.41) 19.72% ( 0.41)
48.54% ( 0.18) 51.46% ( -0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 14.35% ( 0.12) 85.65% ( -0.11)
Manchester City Women 83.92%
Aston Villa Women 5.3%
Draw 10.77%
Manchester City Women Draw Aston Villa Women 3-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.74% Total : 83.92% 1-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.77% 1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 5.3%
rhs 2.0
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