Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 82.28%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 5.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.23%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
