Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.
