Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.