The Match
Match Report
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Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in World Cup
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Poland | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Argentina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Mexico | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Saturday, November 26 at 7pm in World Cup
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Poland | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Argentina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Mexico | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Poland had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Poland | Draw | Argentina |
19.58% (![]() | 22.27% (![]() | 58.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% (![]() | 45.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% (![]() | 67.54% (![]() |
Poland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.97% (![]() | 37.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.18% (![]() | 73.82% (![]() |
Argentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.75% (![]() | 15.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.08% (![]() | 43.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Poland | Draw | Argentina |
1-0 @ 5.61% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.58% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 0-2 @ 9.99% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 58.14% |
How you voted: Poland vs Argentina






