World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
Eq Guinea2 - 0Zambia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Zambia |
| 41.63% | 25.72% | 32.65% |
| Both teams to score 54.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
