Zambia

1 - 2

Lesotho

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.