World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade de Franceville
Gabon2 - 1Kenya
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 1-1 Gabon
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Gabon 2-1 Kenya
Despite their recent struggles, Gabon will be backing themselves to kick off the qualifiers on a high as they return home where they have lost just one competitive game in the last four years. While we expect Kenya to put up a fight, we predict that the Panthers will come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gabon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gabon.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Kenya |
58.97% ( 0.11) | 24.75% ( -0.05) | 16.27% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
