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World Cup
Germany national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2022 at 1pm UK
 
Japan national football team

Germany
1 - 2
Japan

Gundogan (33' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Doan (75'), Asano (83')

The Match

Match Report

Japan score two late goals to record a 2-1 victory over Germany in their opening match of the 2022 World Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup clash between Germany and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Japan could line up for Wednesday's World Cup 2022 Group E clash with Germany.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Last Game: Oman 0-1 Germany
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Japan

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Canada
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Japan had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Japan win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawJapan
53.21% (-0.32 -0.32) 24.19% (0.18 0.18) 22.59% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (-0.575 -0.57)49.62% (0.579 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (-0.518 -0.52)71.64% (0.521 0.52)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.337 -0.34)18.59% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)49.86% (0.575 0.57)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-0.183 -0.18)36.54% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.67% (-0.186 -0.19)73.33% (0.19 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Germany 53.21%
    Japan 22.59%
    Draw 24.19%
GermanyDrawJapan
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Germany vs Japan

Germany
75.5%
Draw
11.6%
Japan
12.9%
1085
rhs 2.0
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