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Guatemala national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round
Mar 25, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
Cuba national football team

Guatemala
1 - 0
Cuba

Martinez (59')
Yanes (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cavafe (7'), Piedra (78')
Espino (61')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Guatemala and Cuba.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 98.69%. A draw had a probability of 1.1% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 0.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 5-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.28%) and 6-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (0.52%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (0.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawCuba
98.69%1.12%0.2%
Both teams to score 21.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
91.29%8.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
79.88%20.13%
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.5%0.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
96.81%3.19%
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
22.05%77.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
2.63%97.37%
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 98.67%
    Cuba 0.2%
    Draw 1.12%
GuatemalaDrawCuba
5-0 @ 14.17%
4-0 @ 13.28%
6-0 @ 12.61%
3-0 @ 9.95%
7-0 @ 9.62%
8-0 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 5.59%
9-0 @ 3.81%
5-1 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 3.31%
6-1 @ 3.14%
3-1 @ 2.48%
7-1 @ 2.4%
1-0 @ 2.1%
8-1 @ 1.6%
2-1 @ 1.39%
9-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 98.67%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 1.12%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 0.2%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2018 1am
International Friendlies
Guatemala
3-0
Cuba
Marquez (9'), Guerra (55'), Ceballos (83' pen.)
Jul 15, 2015 11pm
Group Stage
Cuba
1-0
Guatemala
Reyes (73')
Napoles (15'), Reyes (75'), Gomez (87')

Vasquez (45'), Morales (63')
rhs 2.0
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