MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 02:35:07| >> :600:3298564:3298564:
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Iran
4 - 0
Hong Kong

Azmoun (12', 15'), Taremi (87'), Rezaeian (90+2')
Khalilzadeh (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nam Yue (17'), Hin Ting (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Hong Kong, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 0-4 Iran
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England377
2USA315
3Iran3-33
4Wales3-51

We said: Iran 2-0 Hong Kong

Iran have won nine of their last nine home World Cup qualifiers, and we think that they will continue that impressive record with a comfortable victory over a nation sitting 129 places below them in the FIFA World Rankings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 10.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
IranDrawHong Kong
71.49% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14) 17.74% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 10.77% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.42% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.92% (-0.242 -0.24)43.07% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.52% (-0.24 -0.24)65.47% (0.23599999999999 0.24)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.27% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)10.72% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.32% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)34.67% (0.222 0.22)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52% (-0.061 -0.06)47.99% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.77% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)83.23% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Iran 71.48%
    Hong Kong 10.77%
    Draw 17.74%
IranDrawHong Kong
2-0 @ 12.82% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 9.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.33% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 8.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 17.74%
0-1 @ 3.78% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 10.77%

How you voted: Iran vs Hong Kong

Iran
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Hong Kong
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2021 3.30pm
Second Round
Iran
3-1
Hong Kong
Gholizadeh (23'), Amiri (61'), Ansarifard (84')
Torabi (90+1')
Kwang Cheng (85')
rhs 2.0
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