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World Cup
Jamaica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 31, 2022 at 2.05am UK
Independence Park
Honduras national football team

Jamaica
2 - 1
Honduras

Bailey (39' pen.), Morrison (45+2')
Williams (52'), Bailey (59'), Green (64'), Bygrave (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tejeda (18' pen.)
Decas (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Jamaica and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

Last Six:
Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Jamaica vs. Mexico
Wednesday, June 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras

Last Six:
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Jamaica 2-0 Honduras

 It has been a disappointing campaign for both sides, but Jamaica have shown more eagerness and desire to fight hard and attack, while Los Catrachos appear exhausted and disheartened. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawHonduras
42.67%27.11%30.22%
Both teams to score 49.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06%55.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96%77.04%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06%25.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06%60.94%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38%33.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73%70.26%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 42.66%
    Honduras 30.22%
    Draw 27.1%
JamaicaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 42.66%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.72%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Honduras

Jamaica
75.6%
Draw
16.7%
Honduras
7.7%
78
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2021 1.05am
Honduras
0-2
Jamaica

Flores (37')
Roofe (38'), Fisher (79')
Lowe (84')
Jun 18, 2019 2am
Jamaica
3-2
Honduras
Orgill (15', 41'), Lowe (56')
Lozano (54'), Castillo (92')
Elis (95')
rhs 2.0
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