World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2021 at 5pm UK
Nepal0 - 3Australia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Nepal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Australia |
| 30.44% | 22.24% | 47.33% |
| Both teams to score 65.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% | 34.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.81% | 56.19% |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% | 22.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.81% | 56.19% |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.98% | 15.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.51% | 43.5% |
| Score Analysis |
Nepal 30.44%
Australia 47.33%
Draw 22.24%
| Nepal | Draw | Australia |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% 1-0 @ 5.05% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 6.75% 0-0 @ 3.39% 3-3 @ 2.12% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 5.73% 2-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-4 @ 2.72% 2-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.83% 1-5 @ 1.03% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.33% |
How you voted: Nepal vs Australia
Nepal
32.6%Draw
7.0%Australia
60.5%43
