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Palestine national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium
Bangladesh national football team

Palestine
5 - 0
Bangladesh

Dabbagh (43', 53', 77'), Qinbar (45+1', 49')
Mahajna (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rahman Jony (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Palestine and Bangladesh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Qatar 2-1 Palestine
Monday, January 29 at 4pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Bangladesh 1-1 Lebanon
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.45am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Palestine 2-0 Bangladesh

Palestine might not have picked up a win in the Asian Cup, but their performances showcased a lot of quality and their defensive abilities could be a key factor here. Considering the poor start that the visitors have made to this group stage, it is the Lions of Canaan who will be considered the favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestine win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palestine would win this match.

Result
PalestineDrawBangladesh
54.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.3% (0.0010000000000012 0) 20.4% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.61% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)56.16% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Palestine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)20.71% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Bangladesh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)42.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.85% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Palestine 54.28%
    Bangladesh 20.4%
    Draw 25.29%
PalestineDrawBangladesh
1-0 @ 13.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 54.28%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: Palestine vs Bangladesh

Palestine
69.2%
Draw
11.5%
Bangladesh
19.2%
26
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11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
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19Southampton10118719-124
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