We said: Palestine 2-0 Bangladesh
Palestine might not have picked up a win in the Asian Cup, but their performances showcased a lot of quality and their defensive abilities could be a key factor here.
Considering the poor start that the visitors have made to this group stage, it is the Lions of Canaan who will be considered the favourites.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestine win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palestine would win this match.