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World Cup
Vanuatu national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2024 at 4am UK
 
Samoa national football team

Vanuatu
vs.
Samoa

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Vanuatu and Samoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vanuatu

Last Game: Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Samoa

Last Game: Tonga 2-1 Samoa
Monday, September 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Samoa win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Vanuatu has a probability of 24.09% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Vanuatu win is 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.54%).

Result
VanuatuDrawSamoa
24.09%22.73%53.19%
Both teams to score 58.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27%41.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87%64.13%
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13%30.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84%67.16%
Samoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3%15.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22%44.77%
Score Analysis
    Vanuatu 24.09%
    Samoa 53.19%
    Draw 22.72%
VanuatuDrawSamoa
2-1 @ 6.2%
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 3.35%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24.09%
1-1 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-1 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 8.31%
1-3 @ 6.03%
0-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 2.79%
0-4 @ 2.37%
2-4 @ 1.64%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 53.19%

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