Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Roma |
29.56% ( -0.04) | 26.37% ( -0.19) | 44.07% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% ( 0.72) | 53.33% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( 0.61) | 74.87% ( -0.6) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( 0.34) | 32.74% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( 0.38) | 69.3% ( -0.38) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% ( 0.44) | 24.06% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( 0.61) | 58.34% ( -0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |