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Cameroon national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Yamoussoukro
Guinea national football team

Cameroon
1 - 1
Guinea

Magri (51')
Magri (21'), Moukoudi (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bayo (10')
Diakhaby (63')
Kamano (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cameroon and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 9 at 1pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Nigeria
Monday, January 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Cameroon 1-1 Guinea

This could easily end up being the best watch in the opening round of matches in their year's competition. Cameroon have a history of good performances in AFCON, while Guniea are one of the rising stars on the continent and have a red-hot striker in Guirassy at their disposal. There is very little to choose between these sides, and considering that the four best-finishing third-placed sides will also qualify, we feel these two will be fairly content to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CameroonDrawGuinea
59.71% (-1.81 -1.81) 24.8% (0.723 0.72) 15.49% (1.08 1.08)
Both teams to score 38.98% (0.425 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.53% (-0.746 -0.75)60.46% (0.74100000000001 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.41% (-0.567 -0.57)80.59% (0.56 0.56)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.98699999999999 -0.99)20.26% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-1.595 -1.6)52.61% (1.589 1.59)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.89% (1.12 1.12)51.11% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.58% (0.739 0.74)85.41% (-0.747 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Cameroon 59.7%
    Guinea 15.49%
    Draw 24.79%
CameroonDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 16.53% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 13.19% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.278 -0.28)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 59.7%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 2.97% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 3.72% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 15.49%

How you voted: Cameroon vs Guinea

Cameroon
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Guinea
15.4%
65
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2021 7pm
Third-Place Playoff
Guinea
2-0
Cameroon
Sylla (9'), M (45+1')
M (57'), Sylla (85'), O (90+3')

M (12')
Jan 24, 2015 7pm
Group Stage
Cameroon
1-1
Guinea
Moukandjo (13')
Traore (42')
Fofana (32')
rhs 2.0
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