MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 01:08:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Gutierrez (28')
Escalante (20'), Lopez (61'), Soto (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mosquera (26')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Defensa
Monday, February 6 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, February 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawNewell's Old Boys
42.42% (0.584 0.58) 27.36% (0.267 0.27) 30.21% (-0.848 -0.85)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-1.132 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12% (-1.277 -1.28)56.88% (1.278 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2% (-1.033 -1.03)77.8% (1.034 1.03)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)26.5% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.371 -0.37)61.69% (0.372 0.37)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-1.287 -1.29)34.11% (1.289 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-1.407 -1.41)70.8% (1.41 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 42.42%
    Newell's Old Boys 30.21%
    Draw 27.36%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.42%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.04% (0.434 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.21%

Head to Head
Jul 25, 2022 11pm
Newell's OB
1-2
Defensa
Garro (90+5')
Sforza (17'), Ditta (31'), Sordo (56'), Perez (59'), Luciano (86'), Lema (90+3')
Fernandez (5'), Duarte (48')
Fontana (12'), Souto (45+1'), Lopez (58')
Feb 11, 2022 12.30am
Newell's OB
1-0
Defensa
Gonzalez (59')
Perez (40')

Pizzini (51')
Colombo (21')
Aug 25, 2021 8.30pm
Defensa
2-0
Newell's OB
Hachen (57'), Pizzini (76')
Silva (90+3')

Ateya (11'), Negri (50'), Lema (51'), Maccari (80'), Compagnucci (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 10.20pm
Defensa
4-0
Newell's OB
Benitez (7', 26'), Bou (50' pen.), Pizzini (66')
Britez (3')

Fernandez (35'), Sforza (70'), Lema (74')
Nov 10, 2019 6.30pm
Newell's OB
2-0
Defensa
Rodriguez (2' pen.), Formica (44')
Fernandez (39'), Rivero (91')

Ojeda (66')
rhs 2.0
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