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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 2
Sunderland


Wintle (64'), Bowler (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouchiche (12' pen.), Bellingham (27')
Styles (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Sunderland

There has only been one draw in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in all competitions, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared on Friday. Sunderland managed to end their losing run last time out and certainly have enough quality to avoid defeat in Wales on Friday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
33.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 27.07% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 39.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.044000000000004 0.04)54.96% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)76.24% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (0.058 0.06)62.45% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 33.22%
    Sunderland 39.7%
    Draw 27.07%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.7%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
64.1%
Draw
20.3%
Sunderland
15.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
0-1
Cardiff

Ba (9'), Burstow (58')
McGuinness (87')
Siopis (55'), Colwill (77')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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