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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Goodison Park
Brentford logo

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

Gueye (60')
Tarkowski (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reguilon (43'), Mbeumo (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Everton confirm their Premier League survival with a 1-0 win over Brentford, who succumb to an Idrissa Gueye effort at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-5 Brentford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.

Result
EvertonDrawBrentford
43.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 25.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 30.81% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.32% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)48.11% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (-0.09 -0.09)70.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)29.19% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.142 -0.14)65.13% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Everton 43.95%
    Brentford 30.81%
    Draw 25.23%
EvertonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Everton vs Brentford

Everton
64.5%
Draw
23.7%
Brentford
11.8%
186
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Brentford
1-3
Everton
Jensen (28')
Mbeumo (77'), Ghoddos (82')
Doucoure (6'), Tarkowski (67'), Calvert-Lewin (71')
Young (1'), Branthwaite (90+1')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Brentford
1-1
Everton
Janelt (84')
Wissa (54'), Hickey (90+5')
Gordon (24')
Pickford (81'), Gordon (90+3')
May 15, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 37
Everton
2-3
Brentford
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (45+2' pen.)
Branthwaite (18'), Rondon (88')
Coleman (37' og.), Wissa (62'), Henry (64')
Bech Sorensen (10'), Jensen (27'), Ajer (40')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Everton
4-1
Brentford
Mina (31'), Richarlison (48'), Holgate (62'), Townsend (90+1')
Gomes (24'), Gordon (67')
Toney (54' pen.)
Roerslev (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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