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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
65.53% ( -0.01) | 18.82% ( 0.02) | 15.64% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.84% ( -0.11) | 36.15% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.73% ( -0.12) | 58.27% ( 0.12) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.67% ( -0.03) | 10.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.23% ( -0.08) | 33.77% ( 0.07) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.9% ( -0.08) | 36.1% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.12% ( -0.08) | 72.88% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.53% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.82% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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