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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
49.17% ( 0.59) | 22.27% ( -0.11) | 28.56% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 64.34% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.35% ( 0.19) | 35.65% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.29% ( 0.21) | 57.71% ( -0.21) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.11% ( 0.27) | 14.89% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.76% ( 0.51) | 43.25% ( -0.51) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( -0.2) | 24.41% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% ( -0.29) | 58.84% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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