Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas |
49.5% ( 0.35) | 25.78% ( -0.01) | 24.72% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 49.24% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% ( -0.25) | 53.97% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.21) | 75.42% ( 0.2) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.05) | 21.83% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.94% ( 0.08) | 55.05% ( -0.08) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% ( -0.44) | 37% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.21% ( -0.44) | 73.79% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |