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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Celta Vigo logo

Sevilla
1 - 2
Celta Vigo

En-Nesyri (18')
Acuna (29'), Ramos (29'), Navas (56'), Soumare (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perez (72'), Strand Larsen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Sevilla
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, March 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Celta Vigo

This is a tough match to call, as Sevilla have struggled with consistency this season, and Celta will be hoping for a new manager bounce this weekend. We are expecting a tight match but believe that Sevilla will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
49.4% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87) 25.7% (0.374 0.37) 24.91% (0.496 0.5)
Both teams to score 49.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-1.052 -1.05)53.51% (1.054 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.897 -0.9)75.03% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)21.69% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (-1.241 -1.24)54.83% (1.244 1.24)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.136 -0.14)36.59% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-0.14 -0.14)73.37% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 49.39%
    Celta Vigo 24.91%
    Draw 25.69%
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

Sevilla
82.5%
Draw
15.9%
Celta Vigo
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Starfelt (22')
Tapia (45')
Tapia (65')
En-Nesyri (84')
Soumare (28'), Rakitic (45'), Torres (65'), Gudelj (80'), En-Nesyri (89')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Veiga (33')
Salas (54')
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Getafe331013104145-443
10Villarreal32119125155-442
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla32910134145-437
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Mallorca32613132638-1231
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria33111213267-3514


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