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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo logo

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Celta Vigo

Junior (21'), Guaita (79' og.), Dominguez (88' og.), Guler (90+4')
Camavinga (45+1'), Junior (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

de la Torre (25'), Mingueza (55'), Manquillo (82')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Celta Vigo.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, March 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Celta Vigo

Real Madrid are not in their best form of the season, and Celta certainly have the players to make this a difficult match despite their poor position in the table. Los Blancos will be determined to return to winning ways, though, and we are expecting Ancelotti's side to navigate their way to all three points in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
71.88% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11) 17.06% (0.052 0.05) 11.05% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.89% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93% (-0.061 -0.06)39.07% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.61% (-0.064 -0.06)61.39% (0.064 0.06)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)9.57% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.02% (0.099 0.1)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.16% (0.069999999999993 0.07)44.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.2% (0.058999999999997 0.06)80.8% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.87%
    Celta Vigo 11.05%
    Draw 17.06%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
2-0 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 71.87%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 17.06%
0-1 @ 3.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.05%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Real Madrid
89.0%
Draw
6.8%
Celta Vigo
4.2%
118
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid

Aspas (67'), Tapia (90+4')
Bellingham (81')
Kroos (71'), Nacho (90+6'), Rudiger (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Aug 20, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
1-4
Real Madrid
Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
Benzema (19' pen., 69')
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo
Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')
Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Getafe331013104145-443
10Villarreal32119125155-442
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla32910134145-437
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Mallorca32613132638-1231
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria33111213267-3514


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